FRED 2y-10y · XLF — The yield-curve × XLF causal chain
Top: the 2y-10y Treasury spread from 1976 to today; the shaded bands are 'inversions'. Bottom: XLF's trailing 12-month return. Banks earn the spread — the curve moves first, the sector follows, typically with a 3-9 month lag.
What this page answers
This static page is built to answer searches for FRED 2y-10y · XLF. It summarizes the live dataset behind the The yield-curve × XLF causal chain panel and links to the full interactive chart.
Top: the 2y-10y Treasury spread from 1976 to today; the shaded bands are 'inversions'. Bottom: XLF's trailing 12-month return. Banks earn the spread — the curve moves first, the sector follows, typically with a 3-9 month lag. The data is refreshed by the History of Market pipeline and published as a stable JSON endpoint for research, citation, and AI-agent use.
Latest Snapshot
- Updated
- 2026-05-11
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Data & Source
GET /api/fin/rates.json — Canonical dataset endpoint.
Yahoo Finance · Macrotrends · Robert Shiller · FRED · S&P Global · Nasdaq · NBER.
FAQ
Where does this data come from?
History of Market combines public market and macro datasets including Yahoo Finance, Macrotrends, Robert Shiller, FRED, S&P Global, Nasdaq, and NBER. The exact endpoint for this panel is linked below.
How often is it updated?
Daily-tier datasets refresh after the U.S. market close, with a broader weekly refresh on Sunday. The timestamp shown on this page comes from the JSON payload.
Can I use the data?
Yes, for research and education with attribution to History of Market. Upstream data sources retain their own terms.