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Gathering VIII · leaf 4 of 11
COUNTERPOINT · 1985—NOW

COUNTERPOINT · 1985—NOW — How deep, and how many come back

Recovery base rates — Given a drawdown this deep, how often stocks got back to par.

Max drawdowns of current S&P 500 members since 1985, in eleven depth bins: count, share back to the prior peak, and average years needed. Green: our recomputation; red dashed: the original full sample (6,500+ stocks, incl. delistings).

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What this page answers

This static page is built to answer searches for COUNTERPOINT · 1985—NOW. It summarizes the live dataset behind the How deep, and how many come back panel and links to the full interactive chart.

Max drawdowns of current S&P 500 members since 1985, in eleven depth bins: count, share back to the prior peak, and average years needed. Green: our recomputation; red dashed: the original full sample (6,500+ stocks, incl. delistings). The data is refreshed by the History of Market pipeline and published as a stable JSON endpoint for research, citation, and AI-agent use.

The plate

COUNTERPOINT · 1985—NOW — How deep, and how many come back95-100%4490-95%5185-90%3980-85%5375-80%4870-75%6265-70%5460-65%4955-60%3350-55%380-50%29
Plate VIII.4 Max drawdowns of current S&P 500 members since 1985, in eleven depth bins: count, share back to the prior peak, and average years needed. Green: our recomputation; red dashed: the original full sample (6,500+ stocks, incl. delistings). 2026-08-22

Latest Snapshot

Updated
2026-08-22

Data & Source

GET /api/latest/dd-study.json — Canonical dataset endpoint.

Exchange closing prices · Company filings · Robert Shiller · FRED · NBER.

FAQ

Where does this data come from?

History of Market combines public market and macro datasets — exchange closing prices, company filings, Robert Shiller, FRED, NBER, and the UBS Global Investment Returns Yearbook (Dimson–Marsh–Staunton). The exact endpoint for this panel is linked below.

How often is it updated?

Daily-tier datasets refresh after the U.S. market close, with a broader weekly refresh on Sunday. The timestamp shown on this page comes from the JSON payload.

Can I use the data?

Yes, for research and education with attribution to History of Market. Upstream data sources retain their own terms.