Nasdaq 100 · 5Y Rolling — Nasdaq 100 · Five-Year Rolling Annualized
Rolling 5Y CAGR — Five-year rolling annualized returns for the Nasdaq 100.
Monthly observations since 1990, each looking back five years. The deepest windows touched -20% annualised — buying the 2000 peak still left you underwater by 2005. The distribution runs wider than the S&P 500's: the best five years go higher, the worst five years go deeper.
What this page answers
Buy the Nasdaq 100 at any point and hold five years: the annualized return averages 14.4%, and only about 12.3% of all historical 5-year windows ended negative. The latest window (ending 2026-09-02) annualized 13.3%.
Monthly observations since 1990, each looking back five years. The deepest windows touched -20% annualised — buying the 2000 peak still left you underwater by 2005. The distribution runs wider than the S&P 500's: the best five years go higher, the worst five years go deeper. The data is refreshed by the History of Market pipeline and published as a stable JSON endpoint for research, citation, and AI-agent use.
The plate
Latest Snapshot
- Updated
- 2026-09-03
- Latest value
- 13.312026-09-02
- Average
- +1,435.0%
- Observations
- 432
- Sample
- 1990-10-31 – 2026-09-02
Nasdaq 100 — 5-year rolling annualized returns (year-end windows)
| 5y window ending | Annualized |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | 13.3% |
| 2025-12-31 | 14.4% |
| 2024-12-31 | 19.2% |
| 2023-12-29 | 21.8% |
| 2022-12-30 | 11.3% |
| 2021-12-31 | 27.4% |
| 2020-12-31 | 22.9% |
| 2019-12-31 | 15.6% |
| 2018-12-31 | 12.0% |
| 2017-12-29 | 19.7% |
| 2016-12-30 | 16.4% |
| 2015-12-31 | 15.7% |
| 2014-12-31 | 17.9% |
| 2013-12-31 | 24.3% |
| 2012-12-31 | 5.0% |
| 2011-12-30 | 5.3% |
| 2010-12-31 | 6.2% |
| 2009-12-31 | 2.8% |
| 2008-12-31 | -3.8% |
| 2007-12-31 | 16.2% |
| 2006-12-29 | 1.6% |
| 2005-12-30 | -6.8% |
| 2004-12-31 | -15.3% |
| 2003-12-31 | -4.4% |
| 2002-12-31 | -0.1% |
| 2001-12-31 | 13.9% |
| 2000-12-29 | 32.4% |
| 1999-12-31 | 55.8% |
| 1998-12-31 | 35.8% |
| 1997-12-31 | 22.4% |
| 1996-12-31 | 19.9% |
| 1995-12-29 | 23.6% |
| 1994-12-30 | 12.6% |
| 1993-12-31 | 17.6% |
| 1992-12-31 | 18.2% |
| 1991-12-31 | 18.5% |
| 1990-12-31 | 8.7% |
Showing the 37 most recent of 432 observations — the full series is in the JSON: https://historyofmarket.com/api/ndx/rolling5y.json
Data & Source
GET /api/ndx/rolling5y.json — Canonical dataset endpoint.
Exchange closing prices · Company filings · Robert Shiller · FRED · NBER.
FAQ
Can a 5-year hold of the Nasdaq 100 lose money?
Historically about 12.3% of 5-year windows ended negative — rare, and clustered around buying at major peaks. The average window annualized 14.4%.
Where does this data come from?
History of Market combines public market and macro datasets — exchange closing prices, company filings, Robert Shiller, FRED, NBER, and the UBS Global Investment Returns Yearbook (Dimson–Marsh–Staunton). The exact endpoint for this panel is linked below.
How often is it updated?
Daily-tier datasets refresh after the U.S. market close, with a broader weekly refresh on Sunday. The timestamp shown on this page comes from the JSON payload.
Can I use the data?
Yes, for research and education with attribution to History of Market. Upstream data sources retain their own terms.