AIAE · Asignación del inversor — AIAE — La asignación a renta variable en EE. UU.
Asignación a acciones — Qué parte de la riqueza de los hogares de EE. UU. está en acciones: predice el retorno a diez años mejor que el CAPE.
Valor de mercado de la renta variable ÷ (renta variable + bonos + efectivo). Como predictor de los rendimientos a diez años, AIAE aporta algo más de poder explicativo que el CAPE.
What this page answers
AIAE (aggregate investor allocation to equities) currently reads +46,8% (2026-01-01), the 98,7th percentile of its history (mean +31,9%). By the historical regression, that implies roughly — annualized for the next ten years. AIAE has historically explained 10-year returns better than CAPE.
Valor de mercado de la renta variable ÷ (renta variable + bonos + efectivo). Como predictor de los rendimientos a diez años, AIAE aporta algo más de poder explicativo que el CAPE. The data is refreshed by the History of Market pipeline and published as a stable JSON endpoint for research, citation, and AI-agent use.
Latest Snapshot
- Updated
- 2026-07-24
- Latest value
- +46,8%2026-01-01
- Average
- +31,9%
- Observations
- 304
- Sample
- 1945-10-01 – 2026-01-01
AIAE and implied 10-year annualized return (year-end readings)
| Date | AIAE | Implied 10y ann. |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | +46,8% | — |
| 2025-10-01 | +48,2% | -3,5% |
| 2024-10-01 | +45,8% | -2,0% |
| 2023-10-01 | +42,2% | +0,2% |
| 2022-10-01 | +38,4% | +2,6% |
| 2021-10-01 | +45,6% | -1,9% |
| 2020-10-01 | +42,2% | +0,3% |
| 2019-10-01 | +39,6% | +1,9% |
| 2018-10-01 | +35,5% | +4,4% |
| 2017-10-01 | +38,4% | +2,6% |
| 2016-10-01 | +36,0% | +4,1% |
| 2015-10-01 | +35,4% | +4,4% |
| 2014-10-01 | +37,1% | +3,4% |
| 2013-10-01 | +35,5% | +4,4% |
| 2012-10-01 | +30,6% | +7,4% |
| 2011-10-01 | +29,2% | +8,3% |
| 2010-10-01 | +30,1% | +7,8% |
| 2009-10-01 | +28,4% | +8,9% |
| 2008-10-01 | +25,0% | +10,9% |
| 2007-10-01 | +34,6% | +4,9% |
| 2006-10-01 | +35,2% | +4,6% |
| 2005-10-01 | +34,3% | +5,1% |
| 2004-10-01 | +34,9% | +4,8% |
| 2003-10-01 | +34,8% | +4,9% |
| 2002-10-01 | +31,1% | +7,1% |
| 2001-10-01 | +38,4% | +2,6% |
| 2000-10-01 | +42,3% | +0,2% |
| 1999-10-01 | +46,8% | -2,6% |
| 1998-10-01 | +41,8% | +0,5% |
| 1997-10-01 | +37,8% | +3,0% |
| 1996-10-01 | +33,5% | +5,7% |
| 1995-10-01 | +31,7% | +6,8% |
| 1994-10-01 | +26,9% | +9,8% |
| 1993-10-01 | +28,1% | +9,0% |
| 1992-10-01 | +27,3% | +9,5% |
| 1991-10-01 | +26,6% | +10,0% |
| 1990-10-01 | +22,0% | +12,8% |
| 1989-10-01 | +24,4% | +11,3% |
| 1988-10-01 | +22,1% | +12,8% |
| 1987-10-01 | +21,7% | +13,0% |
| 1986-10-01 | +22,9% | +12,3% |
| 1985-10-01 | +22,1% | +12,7% |
| 1984-10-01 | +21,2% | +13,3% |
| 1983-10-01 | +24,5% | +11,2% |
| 1982-10-01 | +23,6% | +11,8% |
| 1981-10-01 | +23,1% | +12,1% |
| 1980-10-01 | +26,8% | +9,8% |
| 1979-10-01 | +23,2% | +12,1% |
| 1978-10-01 | +22,2% | +12,7% |
| 1977-10-01 | +23,6% | +11,8% |
| 1976-10-01 | +28,2% | +8,9% |
| 1975-10-01 | +26,3% | +10,2% |
| 1974-10-01 | +22,4% | +12,6% |
| 1973-10-01 | +31,2% | +7,1% |
| 1972-10-01 | +38,9% | +2,3% |
| 1971-10-01 | +35,7% | +4,3% |
| 1970-10-01 | +34,1% | +5,3% |
| 1969-10-01 | +35,7% | +4,3% |
| 1968-10-01 | +41,3% | +0,8% |
| 1967-10-01 | +38,9% | +2,3% |
| 1966-10-01 | +34,6% | +5,0% |
| 1965-10-01 | +39,0% | +2,2% |
| 1964-10-01 | +37,4% | +3,2% |
| 1963-10-01 | +35,3% | +4,5% |
| 1962-10-01 | +34,7% | +4,9% |
| 1961-10-01 | +36,8% | +3,6% |
| 1960-10-01 | +34,0% | +5,4% |
| 1959-10-01 | +34,8% | +4,8% |
| 1958-10-01 | +33,9% | +5,4% |
| 1957-10-01 | +29,2% | +8,3% |
| 1956-10-01 | +32,0% | +6,6% |
| 1955-10-01 | +30,9% | +7,2% |
| 1954-10-01 | +27,6% | +9,3% |
| 1953-10-01 | +22,9% | +12,3% |
| 1952-10-01 | +24,3% | +11,4% |
| 1951-10-01 | +25,8% | +10,4% |
| 1950-10-01 | +23,9% | +11,6% |
| 1949-10-01 | +21,5% | +13,1% |
| 1948-10-01 | +20,5% | +13,8% |
| 1947-10-01 | +21,2% | +13,3% |
| 1946-10-01 | +22,4% | +12,6% |
| 1945-10-01 | +23,0% | +12,2% |
Showing the 82 most recent of 304 observations — the full series is in the JSON: https://historyofmarket.com/api/aiae.json
Static Preview
Data & Source
GET /api/aiae.json — Canonical dataset endpoint.
Yahoo Finance · Macrotrends · Robert Shiller · FRED · S&P Global · Nasdaq · NBER.
FAQ
What is AIAE and where does it stand now?
AIAE divides US households' equity holdings by their total (equity + bond + cash) financial assets — how much of everyone's portfolio, summed, is in stocks. It currently reads +46,8%, the 98,7th percentile of history.
Where does this data come from?
History of Market combines public market and macro datasets including Yahoo Finance, Macrotrends, Robert Shiller, FRED, S&P Global, Nasdaq, and NBER. The exact endpoint for this panel is linked below.
How often is it updated?
Daily-tier datasets refresh after the U.S. market close, with a broader weekly refresh on Sunday. The timestamp shown on this page comes from the JSON payload.
Can I use the data?
Yes, for research and education with attribution to History of Market. Upstream data sources retain their own terms.