AIAE · 居民股票仓位 — AIAE：美国家庭与机构的股票资产配置比重
居民股权配置比重 AIAE — 美国家庭金融资产中股票的占比：对未来十年回报的解释力好于 CAPE 的宏观锚。
算法是股票总市值除以（股票 + 债券 + 现金）。在历史样本里，AIAE 对未来十年复合回报的解释力好于传统市盈率。
本页回答什么
AIAE（全社会投资者股票配置比例）最新读数 +46.8%（2026-01-01），位于历史第 98.7 百分位（历史均值 +31.9%）。按长期历史回归模型，这个读数隐含未来十年的年化预期回报约 —。在对十年期远期回报的解释力上，AIAE 长期好于席勒 CAPE。
算法是股票总市值除以（股票 + 债券 + 现金）。在历史样本里，AIAE 对未来十年复合回报的解释力好于传统市盈率。 数据由 History of Market 的自动刷新流水线发布为稳定 JSON，适合研究、引用和 AI 代理读取。
图版
最新摘要
- 更新
- 2026-09-08
- 最新值
- +46.8%2026-01-01
- 平均值
- +31.9%
- 样本数
- 304
- 样本区间
- 1945-10-01 – 2026-01-01
AIAE 资产配置比例与隐含未来十年年化回报率（年末读数）
| 日期 | AIAE | 隐含十年期年化回报 |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | +46.8% | — |
| 2025-10-01 | +48.2% | -3.5% |
| 2024-10-01 | +45.8% | -2.0% |
| 2023-10-01 | +42.2% | +0.2% |
| 2022-10-01 | +38.4% | +2.6% |
| 2021-10-01 | +45.6% | -1.9% |
| 2020-10-01 | +42.2% | +0.3% |
| 2019-10-01 | +39.6% | +1.9% |
| 2018-10-01 | +35.5% | +4.4% |
| 2017-10-01 | +38.4% | +2.6% |
| 2016-10-01 | +36.0% | +4.1% |
| 2015-10-01 | +35.4% | +4.4% |
| 2014-10-01 | +37.1% | +3.4% |
| 2013-10-01 | +35.5% | +4.4% |
| 2012-10-01 | +30.6% | +7.4% |
| 2011-10-01 | +29.2% | +8.3% |
| 2010-10-01 | +30.1% | +7.8% |
| 2009-10-01 | +28.4% | +8.9% |
| 2008-10-01 | +25.0% | +10.9% |
| 2007-10-01 | +34.6% | +4.9% |
| 2006-10-01 | +35.2% | +4.6% |
| 2005-10-01 | +34.3% | +5.1% |
| 2004-10-01 | +34.9% | +4.8% |
| 2003-10-01 | +34.8% | +4.9% |
| 2002-10-01 | +31.1% | +7.1% |
| 2001-10-01 | +38.4% | +2.6% |
| 2000-10-01 | +42.3% | +0.2% |
| 1999-10-01 | +46.8% | -2.6% |
| 1998-10-01 | +41.8% | +0.5% |
| 1997-10-01 | +37.8% | +3.0% |
| 1996-10-01 | +33.5% | +5.7% |
| 1995-10-01 | +31.7% | +6.8% |
| 1994-10-01 | +26.9% | +9.8% |
| 1993-10-01 | +28.1% | +9.0% |
| 1992-10-01 | +27.3% | +9.5% |
| 1991-10-01 | +26.6% | +10.0% |
| 1990-10-01 | +22.0% | +12.8% |
| 1989-10-01 | +24.4% | +11.3% |
| 1988-10-01 | +22.1% | +12.8% |
| 1987-10-01 | +21.7% | +13.0% |
| 1986-10-01 | +22.9% | +12.3% |
| 1985-10-01 | +22.1% | +12.7% |
| 1984-10-01 | +21.2% | +13.3% |
| 1983-10-01 | +24.5% | +11.2% |
| 1982-10-01 | +23.6% | +11.8% |
| 1981-10-01 | +23.1% | +12.1% |
| 1980-10-01 | +26.8% | +9.8% |
| 1979-10-01 | +23.2% | +12.1% |
| 1978-10-01 | +22.2% | +12.7% |
| 1977-10-01 | +23.6% | +11.8% |
| 1976-10-01 | +28.2% | +8.9% |
| 1975-10-01 | +26.3% | +10.2% |
| 1974-10-01 | +22.4% | +12.6% |
| 1973-10-01 | +31.2% | +7.1% |
| 1972-10-01 | +38.9% | +2.3% |
| 1971-10-01 | +35.7% | +4.3% |
| 1970-10-01 | +34.1% | +5.3% |
| 1969-10-01 | +35.7% | +4.3% |
| 1968-10-01 | +41.3% | +0.8% |
| 1967-10-01 | +38.9% | +2.3% |
| 1966-10-01 | +34.6% | +5.0% |
| 1965-10-01 | +39.0% | +2.2% |
| 1964-10-01 | +37.4% | +3.2% |
| 1963-10-01 | +35.3% | +4.5% |
| 1962-10-01 | +34.7% | +4.9% |
| 1961-10-01 | +36.8% | +3.6% |
| 1960-10-01 | +34.0% | +5.4% |
| 1959-10-01 | +34.8% | +4.8% |
| 1958-10-01 | +33.9% | +5.4% |
| 1957-10-01 | +29.2% | +8.3% |
| 1956-10-01 | +32.0% | +6.6% |
| 1955-10-01 | +30.9% | +7.2% |
| 1954-10-01 | +27.6% | +9.3% |
| 1953-10-01 | +22.9% | +12.3% |
| 1952-10-01 | +24.3% | +11.4% |
| 1951-10-01 | +25.8% | +10.4% |
| 1950-10-01 | +23.9% | +11.6% |
| 1949-10-01 | +21.5% | +13.1% |
| 1948-10-01 | +20.5% | +13.8% |
| 1947-10-01 | +21.2% | +13.3% |
| 1946-10-01 | +22.4% | +12.6% |
| 1945-10-01 | +23.0% | +12.2% |
当前展示最近 82 期观测（全序列共 304 期），完整数据见 JSON：https://historyofmarket.com/api/aiae.json
数据与来源
GET /api/aiae.json — 权威数据接口.
Exchange closing prices · Company filings · Robert Shiller · FRED · NBER.
常见问题
AIAE 指标衡量什么？当前最新读数是多少？
AIAE 系用美国家庭部门持有的股票总市值除以其金融资产总额（股票+债券+现金），衡量全市场宏观资产组合中权益资产的实际暴露程度。当前最新读数为 +46.8%，处于历史第 98.7 百分位。
数据来自哪里？
History of Market 组合使用交易所收盘价、公司财报、Robert Shiller、FRED、NBER，以及 UBS 全球投资回报年鉴（Dimson–Marsh–Staunton）等公开来源。本面板的精确 JSON 接口见下方链接。
多久更新一次？
日频数据在美股收盘后刷新，周日执行更完整的周度刷新。本页显示的更新时间来自对应 JSON 文件。
这些数据可以使用吗？
可以，研究与教育用途请注明来源 History of Market；上游数据源仍适用各自条款。